Wintry Mix Possible Sunday, February 14th

NOTE: This blog post is pertaining to a chance for winter weather that is forecast for Sunday, February 14th. Revisions to this forecast may be necessary so keep an eye out for updates. If you're short on time, head to the bottom for the quick version.

There's very little change so far in the forecast, but the fact that it shows similarities to yesterday, means my confidence is only increasing. If there's anything you need to take away from this forecast, it's that this is likely going to be mostly a ICE and RAIN event, there will only be a little snow which not everyone will see.

VIPIRCast brings the rain, ice, and snow mixture into West Tennessee by Sunday morning, so this could start as soon as church services are getting underway on Sunday.



While snow is possible, it's likeliest to fall in northwest Tennessee near the Kentucky-Tennessee border. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a quick inch or two fall near Union City, Martin, Paris, or Camden Sunday morning and afternoon. Ultimately, that's where our best chance for 1" of snow to fall is. Northern Henry county is especially looking at the best chance for snow accumulation. Don't be surprised if there's a trace amount on the ground in Huntingdon, Trenton, or Dyersburg or even northern Decatur and Henderson counties.



Ultimately, our best chance for ice to fall will be in northwest Tennessee (areas north of I-40), the guidance on this has shown that that's where our best chance for travel impacts will be but not all the models agree.



Some models are still suggesting ice over a good portion of northwest Tennessee - especially areas north of I-40. Amounts are still VERY uncertain at this time but we'll keep an eye on that.



In the meantime, here's the quick version of this forecast:

• This will mostly be ice-to-rain event with areas north of I-40 likeliest to see sleet and freezing rain
• Snow will be possible in northwest Tennessee too, but the likeliest area to see any accumulation is parts of West Tennessee near the Tennessee-Kentucky state border
• Eventually all precipitation will change over to rain on Sunday night
• Travel in parts of West Tennessee north of I-40 will be at the greatest risk for travel impacts on Sunday. If you were planning on driving through that area, check the road conditions before you leave to drive tomorrow

I'll post another update Sunday morning. In the meantime, watch WBBJ 7 Eyewitness News at 8 with Meteorologist Eddie Holmes and at 6 and 10 with Meteorologist Chelsea Ambriz!