Sunday, February 14, 2016

Sunday Morning Forecast Update for Today, February 14th

NOTE: This blog post is pertaining to a chance for winter weather that is forecast for Sunday, February 14th.



Over the next 8-10 hours, parts of West Tennessee could be dealing with icy conditions north of I-40. However, many of us may not even start to see any precipitation until tonight. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 6pm tonight for northwest Tennessee.

This morning at 5:00 a.m., radar showed isolated snow showers and a few areas of sleet in northwest Tennessee near the Tennessee-Kentucky border. These showers are moving east-southeast at 30-40 mph.


The latest short term data has been fairly consistent that areas north of I-40 will see scattered snow and ice through the morning before taking a break around lunch-time and then resuming as just rain later this afternoon.

At 6am, models are suggesting very limited coverage of shower activity in northwest Tennessee. At that time it's a mixture of snow and ice.


By 9am, activity starts becoming more widespread north of I-40 with a mixture of freezing rain (red), sleet (pink), and some snow (blue).



At 12pm noon, some of the ice changes over to rain (green). Notice that a LOT of areas south of I-40 may still not have yet seen ANY rain fall at this point.



By 3pm, all precipitation falling in West Tennessee will have changed to just rain and continues to fall predominantly over northwest Tennessee.



At 6pm, showers are starting to move more throughout West Tennessee starting to spread farther south. All precip is still rain.



Areas like Savannah and Selmer, may possibly only just start to see rain by late tonight around midnight.



So for some of you, it may take a while before you start to see anything come down in your area - especially if you live south of I-40. Otherwise, scattered snow and ice showers will be possible through the morning before changing to all rain early this afternoon.
  • Snow and ice falling in northwest Tennessee now (5:00am) but showers will be isolated in nature at first
  • Icy road conditions will be possible where snow, sleet, and freezing rain fall today since temperatures are cold enough for it to stick on contact
  • All precip may fall as rain from the early afternoon on through the rest of the event that could last into Monday morning.
  • Less than 2" of snow is expected near the Tennessee-Kentucky border. Most of West Tennessee won't get any snow at all!
  • Light accumulations of freezing rain and sleet will be possible north of I-40 but individual results may vary.
Keep an eye on our Facebook and Twitter accounts today for the latest updates! In the meantime, here's a useful way to check road conditions reported by TDOT --> CLICK ME

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