Good Friday Severe Weather Risk

At 11:31 p.m. CDT on April 2nd, 2015, a cold front approaching the Mid-South was already igniting severe weather in the Central plains. This same cold front could also cause severe weather to occur in parts of West Tennessee very early Friday morning, Friday afternoon, and through early Friday evening.
 

As the front approaches northwest Tennessee it will gradually slow down but ongoing thunderstorms to our north could become severe with a risk of large hail, damaging winds and heavy rainfall that could lead to flash flooding. In fact, much of western Kentucky and southeast Missouri is under a Flood Watch.

 There are also Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Watches issued to our north and northwest.

The main thing to consider is that when the front approaches West Tennessee thunderstorms will develop. So, by that thinking, the chance for thunderstorms will increase from northwest to southeast in West Tennessee as we go into Good Friday morning, afternoon, and early evening.

However, the atmosphere will be "capped" initially. This simply means that severe thunderstorms will have a hard time developing at first. By the afternoon, that cap will diminish and thunderstorms will be more likely to form along the cold front as it moves through West Tennessee.

The timing for the main threat...

 and the risk...

 
are important considerations in making your plans throughout the day, today.

 
Also consider that we're expecting the main impact from these storms to come from large hail, damaging winds, and flash flooding should they become severe. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out but there is a low probability for that right now.
After sunset most, if not all, of the thunderstorms will be out of West Tennessee and we can enjoy a quiet and cooler Easter weekend.

 
Myself and the rest of the VIPIR 7 Storm Team will keep you posted throughout the day! Here's how to contact us...