There is a slight risk for severe weather in West Tennessee Saturday morning and early afternoon.
As a warm front moves into West Tennessee overnight, showers and thunderstorms will continue with the best chance for any thunder and lightning near the Tennessee-Mississippi border. The back edge of the bulk of showers and thunderstorms will likely move east of the Tennessee River after 7 a.m. CDT.
However, we may still see a few scattered storms in eastern counties of West Tennessee (Henry, Carroll, Benton, Henderson, Decatur, Chester, McNairy, and Hardin counties) during the hours after sunrise. Activity will be moving northeast with strong southwesterly winds. By the time the atmosphere gets more energy, most of the rain, and the ingredients to cause the storms will have moved north and east. Right now, it appears unlikely that West Tennessee will see severe weather.
If any storms become severe they could contain damaging straight-line winds and large hail. Heavy rainfall in these thunderstorms could also lead to flash flooding.
This forecast is all about timing, and the way the models have panned this out, it just doesn't seem like it's in the cards for this to be a severe weather event for West Tennessee. Even after all the rain is said and done, tomorrow will still be a windy day. Winds could gust over 30 miles per hour.
Summary
- Showers and thunderstorms overnight (t'storms possible near southwest TN)
- Showers become more isolated after sunrise
- A few stray storms are possible late morning early afternoon
- The chance for severe weather is low
- Windy weather coming in the afternoon
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