Good morning!
An area of low pressure in the Central Plains is moving northeast toward the Upper Midwest today. Trailing behind that is a cold front that could bring severe weather to West Tennessee later tonight.
Concerning the daytime, at any point during the afternoon there is a 30%-40% chance for a scattered thunderstorm in West Tennessee which will have the potential to become strong or severe but that threat will be localized. The cold front won't come into West Tennessee until between late tonight and early Friday morning. When it does, this is what the risk for severe weather looks like in our area.
An area of low pressure in the Central Plains is moving northeast toward the Upper Midwest today. Trailing behind that is a cold front that could bring severe weather to West Tennessee later tonight.
Concerning the daytime, at any point during the afternoon there is a 30%-40% chance for a scattered thunderstorm in West Tennessee which will have the potential to become strong or severe but that threat will be localized. The cold front won't come into West Tennessee until between late tonight and early Friday morning. When it does, this is what the risk for severe weather looks like in our area.
The western two-thirds of the West Tennessee region will have a 2-3 (medium) risk for severe weather to occur. This is where we'll probably be tracking thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and large hail.
As you can see below, the damaging wind and hail threat will be the main concern today - especially when the front arrives later tonight. If any tornadoes form in tonight's thunderstorms they would be more likely to occur near the Mississippi River than compared to the Tennessee River.
As the line moves east, the threat for severe weather will mainly turn into a damaging wind threat as the thunderstorms form a line, but I don't want to discount the risk for flash flooding. Some of the thunderstorms ahead of the the front could produce rainfall rates of up to 2" per hour, so localized flash flooding is still going to be something that we'll have to look out for.
Just to reiterate, the main line of storms won't come until later tonight, though a scattered storm will be possible this afternoon. Here's a look at the timing for that main line.
The Big Takeaway:
This is NOT an event to panic about. I also don't think that we should expect a widespread outbreak of severe thunderstorms. Most areas will probably just see thunderstorms with some heavy rain, lightning and some gusty winds. A few locations could get some hail and damaging winds. Be prepared for the worst and hope for the best!
In any event, the VIPIR 7 Storm Team is committed to updating you with later developments throughout the day on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. Like or follow our pages by clicking on those links!
Plus, don't forget to download the WBBJ 7 Eyewitness News app on Apple and Android devices. There, you can set up weather alerts for your area and use an interactive radar to track the storms throughout the day.
I'll keep you posted!
This is NOT an event to panic about. I also don't think that we should expect a widespread outbreak of severe thunderstorms. Most areas will probably just see thunderstorms with some heavy rain, lightning and some gusty winds. A few locations could get some hail and damaging winds. Be prepared for the worst and hope for the best!
In any event, the VIPIR 7 Storm Team is committed to updating you with later developments throughout the day on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. Like or follow our pages by clicking on those links!
Plus, don't forget to download the WBBJ 7 Eyewitness News app on Apple and Android devices. There, you can set up weather alerts for your area and use an interactive radar to track the storms throughout the day.
I'll keep you posted!
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