Monday, April 25, 2016

Severe Weather Threat for Wednesday, April 27th, 2016

NOTE: This blog post is pertaining to a chance for severe weather that is forecast for Wednesday, April 27th, 2016.

Right now, (as of 9:15pm, Monday April 25th) much of the western half of West Tennessee has been placed under a slight risk for severe weather with the rest of West Tennessee under a marginal risk. 


Timing is still difficult to nail down, so we'll have to be prepared for strong to severe thunderstorms during the morning, afternoon, evening, and potentially late at night. We'll be able to get a better handle on when the storms will move in and develop in the area once they start to generate out west tomorrow.

All the ingredients seem to be present to provide us with a risk for strong to severe thunderstorms. Energy seems to be the most available, with a decent amount of moisture and shear. One of the elements found lacking a bit from the environment will be "lift" which may end up being difficult to predict in this situation. Lift is essential to having thunderstorms, or really any rain for that matter. This will also be easier to pinpoint whether that element will be available once the storms begin to develop.


Main concerns will lie with a risk for damaging winds and large hail but an isolated tornado will also be possible, especially during the later hours of the day. Right now, the threats are low to medium, but if the timing of these storms lines up with having more ingredients available, those threats will increase.


We'll keep you updated, but make sure to be prepared for severe weather by having a way to receive weather alerts whether that be with a NOAA Weather Radio, your smartphone, or from someone who can call you with that information.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • There will be a potential for severe weather that may come in more than one round on Wednesday, April 27th, 2016.
  • Timing is still difficult to nail down but we'll know more about these storms tomorrow once they develop well to our west in the Plains.
  • Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats, but an isolated tornado is worth preparing for too.
  • Make sure you have a way to get watches and warnings when they're issued from the National Weather Service!

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