Severe Weather Risk for Friday June, 26

8:39 a.m. Friday, June 26

I wish there was a way for this forecast to change, I really do! Nobody wants to move to a new house in the rain. Unfortunately, since yesterday, it looks as though the risk for severe weather has become more enhanced over West Tennessee today. I'm not going to sugar-coat it, I'll just give you the bullet points for what to expect:

• Scattered showers and thunderstorms will begin forming in West Tennessee from the late morning into the afternoon.
• If you have outdoor activities planned today, understand that there is a likely chance for frequent lightning in some of these storms. Remember to head indoors at the first sign of lightning or thunder!
• The risk for severe weather today is a 3 for most of West Tennessee (enhanced risk) and with any storms that become strong or severe today, the biggest threat for severe weather will be from damaging winds and large hail. Tying down some of those loose outdoor items you might have at your home would be a good idea.
• The probability for an isolated tornado is low, but if one does happen to form, it would be likelier to do so in the northern half of West Tennessee.
• Showers and thunderstorms will continue moving through the area until Saturday morning, at which point we'll transition into drier and cooler weather for the weekend.

ONE MORE THING: If you live in Madison county and rely on NOAA Weather Radio for weather alerts, the Jackson, TN broadcast is having technical difficulties. Workers are on the scene making repairs, but it is possible that it might not be ready in time before storms start forming today. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A WAY TO GET WEATHER ALERTS! You can see alerts crawling across the bottom of your screen on WBBJ, or even download our app for or free on Apple (http://bit.ly/1fUs7vD) and Android (http://bit.ly/1g3VrjL) devices!

Be safe and stay weather aware!

Severe Weather Risk for Saturday, April 25th

There is a slight risk for severe weather in West Tennessee Saturday morning and early afternoon.

As a warm front moves into West Tennessee overnight, showers and thunderstorms will continue with the best chance for any thunder and lightning near the Tennessee-Mississippi border. The back edge of the bulk of showers and thunderstorms will likely move east of the Tennessee River after 7 a.m. CDT.

However, we may still see a few scattered storms in eastern counties of West Tennessee (Henry, Carroll, Benton, Henderson, Decatur, Chester, McNairy, and Hardin counties) during the hours after sunrise. Activity will be moving northeast with strong southwesterly winds. By the time the atmosphere gets more energy, most of the rain, and the ingredients to cause the storms will have moved north and east. Right now, it appears unlikely that West Tennessee will see severe weather.

If any storms become severe they could contain damaging straight-line winds and large hail. Heavy rainfall in these thunderstorms could also lead to flash flooding.

This forecast is all about timing, and the way the models have panned this out, it just doesn't seem like it's in the cards for this to be a severe weather event for West Tennessee. Even after all the rain is said and done, tomorrow will still be a windy day. Winds could gust over 30 miles per hour.

Summary

• Showers and thunderstorms overnight (t'storms possible near southwest TN)
• Showers become more isolated after sunrise
• A few stray storms are possible late morning early afternoon
• The chance for severe weather is low
• Windy weather coming in the afternoon

Severe Weather Risk for the Night of Sunday, April 19th

3:30 p.m. - 

Rain showers and a few thunderstorms are moving northeast across West Tennessee. There are a few pockets of isolated heavy rain but these storms are NOT associated with the main threat for severe weather today which will arrive tonight. In fact, you can expect a nice sunset soon as clouds are continuing to disappear in the southwest Tennessee sky right now.

There is a slight to enhanced risk for severe weather in West Tennessee. 

It will be dry to end the daylight hours but between 8pm and 9pm, a line of thunderstorms will be moving over the Mississippi River heading east into West Tennessee. It should be in the vicinity of Jackson around 10 or 11pm. Most of West Tennessee will just get some gusty winds and heavy rain, but a few of these storms could be or become severe as they cross the Mississippi River. The main threat from any storms that become severe will be from damaging straight-line winds and large hail. There's the outside chance for a tornado to occur in the Mid-South though the probability is low. 

In any event, make sure your weather radios are on and that you have some way of getting severe weather information. If you're on social media (and chances are that that's how you found this blog) then follow the VIPIR 7 Storm Team on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for updates. The Twitter page is the most reliable source for real-time weather update information.

Quick Notes

• Expect a nice sunset
• Line of thunderstorms will move through West Tennessee from 8p-1a
• Most of West Tennessee will at least get gusty wind and rain
• A few severe thunderstorms are possible with the threat of straight-line winds (+60mph) and large hail
• Tornadoes are possible but unlikely

Stay weather aware!